Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -300 IOWA +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -8.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -8.3 (+8.7) | 157.8 (-10.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -8.8 (+8.2) | 156.4 (-9.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -7.5 (+9.5) | 158.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -6.9 (+10.1) | 156.0 (-9.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OSU 72 – 69 IOWA |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | IOWA 77 – 70 OSU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IOWA 79 – 77 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 15.4 (#26) | 10.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#46) | 1.78 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#29) | 2.37 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#49) | 0.554 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 50.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 58.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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