Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +25 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -5.0 (+20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -5.0 (+20.0) | 126.8 (+2.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -5.0 (+20.0) | 127.9 (+1.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -5.6 (+19.4) | 128.2 (+0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.1 (+19.9) | 127.9 (+1.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 15, 2026 | HAW 71 – 64 UCI |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UCI 87 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 11, 2026 | HAW 67 – 66 UCI |
| Feb 16, 2025 | UCI 66 – 49 HAW |
| Jan 26, 2025 | UCI 71 – 55 HAW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 9-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#124) | 1.1 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#119) | -0.04 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#125) | 0.10 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#104) | 0.488 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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