Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -14.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -12.5 (+13.5) | 137.5 (-1.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -12.7 (+13.3) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -13.0 (+13.0) | 138.6 (-2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -12.5 (+13.5) | 139.0 (-3.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 1-16 |
| Home | 13-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 7-4 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#89) | -5.4 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#62) | -1.16 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#72) | -1.24 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#54) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 14.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.