Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +19 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -4.2 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -4.1 (-14.9) | 132.5 (-3.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -5.7 (-13.3) | 133.9 (-4.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -5.2 (-13.8) | 135.0 (-6.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -5.4 (-13.6) | 132.9 (-3.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | GB 64 – 56 PFW |
| Feb 13, 2026 | GB 76 – 59 PFW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | GB 72 – 54 PFW |
| Feb 9, 2025 | PFW 89 – 74 GB |
| Dec 29, 2024 | PFW 83 – 67 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-6 |
| Home | 4-9 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -11.8 (#330) | -4.8 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#354) | -0.74 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.69 (#353) | -1.13 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.378 (#351) | 0.461 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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