Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -5.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -4.2 (+1.8) | 148.3 (+21.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -5.3 (+0.7) | 151.0 (+19.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -5.1 (+0.9) | 152.0 (+18.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -5.2 (+0.8) | 150.7 (+19.3) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | HART 74 – 70 STBK |
| Jan 31, 2021 | STBK 63 – 49 HART |
| Jan 30, 2021 | HART 59 – 57 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#252) | -7.1 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#199) | -1.77 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#210) | -2.27 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#163) | 0.437 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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