Betting Lines
| Spread | HART -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HART +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | HART -0.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HART -0.3 (+3.7) | 150.4 (-6.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.2 (+4.2) | 152.0 (-8.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.3 (+4.3) | 154.3 (-10.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -1.2 (+5.2) | 154.0 (-10.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | STBK 88 – 82 HART |
| Jan 31, 2021 | STBK 63 – 49 HART |
| Jan 30, 2021 | HART 59 – 57 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HART | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#284) | -4.8 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#312) | -0.23 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#320) | -0.45 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#291) | 0.511 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HART | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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