Tap turns on the water, see the waters flow. "Tap Turns on the Water" - C.C.S.
Stony Brook Seawolves
57 – 59
FINAL Conference
Hartford Hawks
America East Conference · Island FCU Arena · January 30, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread STBK -3.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money STBK -150 / HART +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total STBK win
Actual HART +2 116 Lost
Massey STBK -0.2 (-2.2) — —
Massey Totals — 130.6 (-14.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 40% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HART -0.2 (-1.8) 130.0 (-14.0) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML STBK -0.5 (-2.5) 131.4 (-15.4) 50% ✓
Baseline ML STBK -0.2 (-2.2) 131.8 (-15.8) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML STBK -0.2 (-2.2) 132.2 (-16.2) 48% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2022 HART 74 – 70 STBK
Feb 19, 2022 STBK 88 – 82 HART
Jan 31, 2021 STBK 63 – 49 HART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings STBK HART
Overall 9-14 15-9
Conference 7-9 8-6
Home 5-5 10-1
Away 4-8 5-6
Neutral 0-1 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 65.4 65.4
Avg Pts Against 66.8 63.9
Massey -4.0 (#230) -1.7 (#194)
Bradley-Terry -0.97 (#249) -0.13 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.17 (#236) -0.13 (#176)
RPI 0.471 (#211) 0.515 (#141)
Shooting & Four Factors STBK HART
FG% 43.5% 42.9%
3PT% 29.1% 34.4%
REB / G 36.7 33.0
OREB / G 10.2 8.1
AST / TO 0.86 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 50.2%
TOV% 20.3% 19.3%
ORB% 28.0% 24.2%
FT Rate 24.8% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 20.9%
DRB% 74.2% 71.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 16.7%

Game Analysis

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