Betting Lines
| Spread | STBK -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | STBK -138 HART +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +14 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | STBK -0.0 (+14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STBK -0.3 (+13.7) | 131.0 (-19.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STBK -0.4 (+13.6) | 129.7 (-17.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STBK -0.2 (+13.8) | 129.4 (-17.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STBK -0.2 (+13.8) | 130.2 (-18.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2022 | HART 74 – 70 STBK |
| Feb 19, 2022 | STBK 88 – 82 HART |
| Jan 30, 2021 | HART 59 – 57 STBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-14 | 15-9 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-6 |
| Home | 5-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#228) | -1.5 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#256) | 0.02 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#242) | -0.03 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#216) | 0.525 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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