Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -11.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -9.0 (-7.0) | 137.0 (-19.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -9.1 (-7.1) | 136.9 (-18.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -9.7 (-7.7) | 138.0 (-20.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -9.4 (-7.4) | 139.8 (-21.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 RID |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RID 88 – 62 MONM |
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 72 – 68 RID |
| Mar 5, 2022 | RID 74 – 65 MONM |
| Mar 5, 2021 | MONM 65 – 62 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#129) | -5.8 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#111) | -1.04 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#113) | -1.22 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#63) | 0.446 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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