Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -3.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -3.3 (+12.3) | 135.4 (+3.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -3.1 (+12.1) | 135.3 (+3.7) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -3.2 (+12.2) | 135.7 (+3.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -3.2 (+12.2) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 RID |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RID 88 – 62 MONM |
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 72 – 68 RID |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MONM 60 – 58 RID |
| Mar 5, 2021 | MONM 65 – 62 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 67.3 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#262) | 1.3 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#259) | 0.66 (#120) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#263) | 0.68 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#277) | 0.554 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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