Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | RID -400 MONM +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +26 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | RID -14.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -8.7 (+17.3) | 139.4 (+10.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -10.5 (+15.5) | 143.3 (+6.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -10.5 (+15.5) | 142.6 (+7.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -11.3 (+14.7) | 140.3 (+9.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 RID |
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 72 – 68 RID |
| Mar 5, 2022 | RID 74 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MONM 60 – 58 RID |
| Mar 5, 2021 | MONM 65 – 62 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 3-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#256) | -13.3 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#338) | -3.04 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.98 (#332) | -4.21 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.368 (#336) | 0.410 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 26.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 59.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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