Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -200 RID +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -13.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -7.9 (-1.9) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -11.0 (-5.0) | 141.2 (+6.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -11.2 (-5.2) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -10.8 (-4.8) | 143.4 (+4.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2022 | RID 88 – 62 MONM |
| Mar 11, 2022 | MONM 72 – 68 RID |
| Mar 5, 2022 | RID 74 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MONM 60 – 58 RID |
| Mar 5, 2021 | MONM 65 – 62 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#176) | -9.4 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#116) | -3.01 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#117) | -3.88 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#133) | 0.381 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 36.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 21.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 41.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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