Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MONM -175 RID +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +4 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -5.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.4 (-0.4) | 132.5 (+7.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -4.3 (-0.3) | 133.9 (+6.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -4.4 (-0.4) | 132.7 (+7.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -4.0 (-0.0) | 135.5 (+4.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | MONM 77 – 71 RID |
| Dec 1, 2022 | RID 88 – 62 MONM |
| Mar 5, 2022 | RID 74 – 65 MONM |
| Feb 19, 2022 | MONM 60 – 58 RID |
| Mar 5, 2021 | MONM 65 – 62 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#150) | -4.3 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#127) | -0.63 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#134) | -0.88 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#77) | 0.457 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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