Betting Lines
| Spread | ALCN -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | ALCN -4.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALCN -1.6 (-0.6) | 126.8 (-5.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALCN -2.0 (-1.0) | 129.7 (-8.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALCN -2.8 (-1.8) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALCN -3.0 (-2.0) | 129.5 (-8.5) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | ALCN 83 – 65 JKST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | JKST 89 – 86 ALCN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | JKST 71 – 63 ALCN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | JKST 72 – 69 ALCN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | ALCN 87 – 73 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALCN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 9-13 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#266) | -7.1 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#267) | -1.65 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#267) | -2.08 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#228) | 0.434 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALCN | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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