Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +11 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -4.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -5.9 (+5.1) | 136.0 (-11.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -6.1 (+4.9) | 140.4 (-15.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -6.4 (+4.6) | 141.2 (-16.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -5.7 (+5.3) | 139.3 (-14.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | USU 75 – 56 BOIS |
| Jan 11, 2026 | USU 93 – 68 BOIS |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BOIS 82 – 65 USU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | USU 81 – 79 BOIS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | USU 80 – 61 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | 9.3 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#34) | 1.21 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#36) | 1.82 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#39) | 0.560 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 79.1% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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