Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -12.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -11.2 (-2.8) | 157.2 (+2.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -10.7 (-3.3) | 159.2 (+0.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -10.0 (-4.0) | 159.5 (+0.5) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -11.0 (-3.0) | 158.2 (+1.8) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UND 79 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UND 72 – 61 ORU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UND 88 – 77 ORU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | ORU 83 – 79 UND |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UND 78 – 65 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 4-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#346) | 1.6 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#346) | 0.16 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#348) | 0.40 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#348) | 0.519 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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