Betting Lines
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UNCA +115 WIN -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -1.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -0.4 (-4.6) | 142.3 (+20.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -2.1 (-7.1) | 143.3 (+19.7) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -1.2 (-6.2) | 144.9 (+18.1) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -1.5 (-6.5) | 143.0 (+20.0) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WIN 84 – 71 UNCA |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WIN 69 – 67 UNCA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | WIN 86 – 67 UNCA |
| Mar 1, 2025 | WIN 103 – 90 UNCA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNCA 93 – 84 WIN |
Game Analysis
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