Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +3 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -5.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -4.9 (+7.9) | 157.8 (+5.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -3.6 (+6.6) | 156.6 (+6.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -3.6 (+6.6) | 157.5 (+5.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -4.3 (+7.3) | 156.8 (+6.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | IDHO 81 – 68 EWU |
| Mar 3, 2026 | IDHO 85 – 81 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | IDHO 84 – 81 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | EWU 75 – 73 IDHO |
| Jan 19, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 76 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-3 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.3 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#325) | -2.8 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#314) | -0.28 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#299) | -0.44 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#323) | 0.489 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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