Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +8 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -2.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -0.5 (+7.5) | 135.7 (-23.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -0.6 (+7.4) | 140.5 (-28.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -0.9 (+7.1) | 142.3 (-30.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.0 (+7.0) | 137.2 (-25.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-15 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#231) | -2.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#259) | -0.69 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#263) | -1.02 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#199) | 0.475 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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