Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -18.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -19.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -14.2 (-1.2) | 127.8 (+7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -14.8 (-1.8) | 133.0 (+2.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -15.6 (-2.6) | 131.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -16.1 (-3.1) | 127.3 (+7.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 1-16 |
| Home | 13-7 | 2-11 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#236) | -20.8 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#251) | -4.27 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#249) | -4.92 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#256) | 0.336 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 26.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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