Betting Lines
| Spread | MSM -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +5 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | MSM -1.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSM -0.9 (-5.9) | 140.7 (-13.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSM -0.2 (-5.2) | 140.6 (-13.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MSM -0.3 (-5.3) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSM -0.1 (-5.1) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | MSM 80 – 72 LIU |
| Dec 23, 2023 | MSM 87 – 59 LIU |
| Jan 7, 2022 | LIU 74 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 64 – 46 LIU |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 66 – 60 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 6-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#262) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#281) | -1.13 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#282) | -1.15 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#220) | 0.480 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.