Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | LIU -130 MSM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSM +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -1.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -0.5 (-8.5) | 136.5 (+15.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.6 (-8.6) | 138.4 (+13.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -0.9 (-8.9) | 139.3 (+12.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -1.4 (-9.4) | 138.5 (+13.5) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | MSM 87 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | LIU 66 – 61 MSM |
| Jan 7, 2022 | LIU 74 – 57 MSM |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 64 – 46 LIU |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 66 – 60 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-9 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#306) | -5.4 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#277) | 0.12 (#162) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#285) | -0.35 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#252) | 0.520 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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