Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | LIU -200 MSM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +17 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -6.4 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -3.5 (+13.5) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -3.5 (+13.5) | 141.8 (-10.8) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -3.6 (+13.4) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -4.3 (+12.7) | 141.7 (-10.7) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2024 | MSM 80 – 72 LIU |
| Dec 23, 2023 | MSM 87 – 59 LIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | LIU 66 – 61 MSM |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 64 – 46 LIU |
| Feb 12, 2021 | MSM 66 – 60 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 64.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#272) | -8.4 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#323) | -1.62 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#305) | -2.36 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#312) | 0.438 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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