Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | BEL -7000 SIUE +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -20.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -19.2 (-8.2) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -16.8 (-5.8) | 147.4 (-12.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -18.6 (-7.6) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -18.8 (-7.8) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2022 | BEL 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Mar 4, 2021 | BEL 78 – 61 SIUE |
| Feb 6, 2021 | BEL 94 – 62 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | BEL 114 – 62 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#50) | -7.9 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.00 (#40) | -1.97 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#55) | -2.54 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#30) | 0.423 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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