You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Belmont Bruins
78 – 61
FINAL Neutral Conference OVC
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
Ohio Valley Conference · Ford Center (Neutral) · March 4, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BEL -18.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money BEL -4000 / SIUE +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total BEL win
Actual BEL +17 139 Won
Massey BEL -18.8 (-1.8) — —
Massey Totals — 147.3 (-8.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BEL -14.5 (+2.5) 143.8 (-4.8) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BEL -15.2 (+1.8) 143.9 (-4.9) 88% ✓
Baseline ML BEL -15.4 (+1.6) 143.0 (-4.0) 89% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BEL -16.0 (+1.0) 145.6 (-6.6) 88% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2022 BEL 73 – 62 SIUE
Jan 18, 2022 BEL 80 – 64 SIUE
Feb 6, 2021 BEL 94 – 62 SIUE
Jan 23, 2021 BEL 114 – 62 SIUE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BEL SIUE
Overall 26-4 9-17
Conference 18-2 7-12
Home 11-1 2-8
Away 10-2 6-7
Neutral 5-1 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 81.3 65.2
Avg Pts Against 69.1 74.1
Massey 7.2 (#81) -11.6 (#324)
Bradley-Terry 1.43 (#66) -1.87 (#315)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.14 (#99) -2.42 (#310)
RPI 0.562 (#67) 0.435 (#283)
Shooting & Four Factors BEL SIUE
FG% 49.5% 43.7%
3PT% 34.4% 31.4%
REB / G 35.8 32.4
OREB / G 8.4 9.0
AST / TO 1.53 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.8% 49.2%
TOV% 16.4% 22.9%
ORB% 25.1% 27.1%
FT Rate 21.1% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 19.5%
DRB% 72.9% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 16.5% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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