Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -2500 SIUE +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +52 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -13.1 (+38.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.6 (+40.4) | 148.4 (+27.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.5 (+39.5) | 148.9 (+27.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -12.4 (+39.6) | 148.6 (+27.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -14.5 (+37.5) | 148.5 (+27.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | BEL 73 – 62 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2022 | BEL 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Mar 4, 2021 | BEL 78 – 61 SIUE |
| Feb 6, 2021 | BEL 94 – 62 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-4 | 9-17 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 2-8 |
| Away | 10-2 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#104) | -6.0 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#70) | -1.02 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#98) | -1.57 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#132) | 0.450 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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