Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE +1600 BEL -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +32 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -13.8 (-18.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -10.9 (-21.1) | 146.5 (+9.5) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -12.4 (-19.6) | 147.3 (+8.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -13.5 (-18.5) | 148.4 (+7.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -14.9 (-17.1) | 148.5 (+7.5) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | BEL 73 – 62 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2022 | BEL 80 – 64 SIUE |
| Mar 4, 2021 | BEL 78 – 61 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | BEL 114 – 62 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-17 | 26-4 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 18-2 |
| Home | 2-8 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 81.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#306) | 6.8 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#284) | 1.84 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#291) | 1.59 (#82) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#241) | 0.545 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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