Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +16 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -10.7 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.4 (-4.6) | 145.1 (-1.1) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -10.3 (-5.7) | 146.8 (-2.8) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -10.6 (-5.4) | 148.4 (-4.4) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -10.8 (-5.2) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2022 | BEL 73 – 62 SIUE |
| Mar 4, 2021 | BEL 78 – 61 SIUE |
| Feb 6, 2021 | BEL 94 – 62 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2021 | BEL 114 – 62 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#239) | 10.8 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#266) | 2.23 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#276) | 2.69 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#246) | 0.604 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 56.7% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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