Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +17 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -6.7 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.7 (-10.3) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -6.7 (-10.3) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -6.8 (-10.2) | 145.4 (-6.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -6.2 (-10.8) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | CLE 90 – 88 MILW |
| Dec 21, 2025 | MILW 81 – 71 CLE |
| Feb 8, 2025 | CLE 77 – 60 MILW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | MILW 79 – 67 CLE |
| Feb 15, 2024 | MILW 71 – 68 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 8-14 | 15-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#322) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#327) | -0.08 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.51 (#326) | -0.11 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#329) | 0.498 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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