Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +20 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -4.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -4.1 (+15.9) | 135.0 (-1.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.4 (+15.6) | 135.3 (-1.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -5.0 (+15.0) | 136.2 (-2.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -4.2 (+15.8) | 136.3 (-2.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#73) | 6.2 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#50) | 1.06 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#63) | 1.30 (#99) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#42) | 0.554 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.