Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -4.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -4.5 (-1.5) | 134.7 (+26.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -3.4 (-0.4) | 137.0 (+24.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -3.6 (-0.6) | 137.3 (+23.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -3.2 (-0.2) | 138.4 (+22.6) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OKST 84 – 83 KSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | KSU 85 – 57 OKST |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OKST 79 – 66 KSU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OKST 75 – 72 KSU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | KSU 70 – 66 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 10.2 (#47) | 9.0 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#76) | 1.79 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.98 (#59) | 2.37 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#75) | 0.531 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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