Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -8.4 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+20.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.4 (+7.4) | 141.5 (+10.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -5.3 (+7.3) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -5.2 (+7.2) | 139.9 (+12.1) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -5.7 (+7.7) | 140.4 (+11.6) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#97) | 16.8 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#77) | 2.51 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#96) | 3.06 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#71) | 0.616 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 25.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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