Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -355 SC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +10 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -12.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -12.1 (-22.1) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -10.3 (-20.3) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -11.9 (-21.9) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -11.5 (-21.5) | 149.4 (-3.4) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SC 77 – 75 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-8 | 11-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#34) | 6.5 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#28) | 0.25 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.76 (#26) | 0.53 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#41) | 0.483 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 35.5% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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