I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
LSU Tigers
73 – 82
FINAL Conference
South Carolina Gamecocks
Southeastern Conference · Pete Maravich Assembly Center · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread LSU -7.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Over
Money LSU -400 / SC +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total LSU win
Actual SC +9 155 Lost
Massey LSU -10.9 (-19.9) — —
Massey Totals — 130.3 (+24.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 88% ✗
Baseline Plus ML LSU -8.5 (-17.5) 131.9 (+23.1) 79% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ LSU -9.3 (-18.3) 134.3 (+20.7) 78% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML LSU -8.6 (-17.6) 132.7 (+22.3) 80% ✗
Baseline ML LSU -8.8 (-17.8) 133.0 (+22.0) 77% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LSU 92 – 87 SC
Jan 7, 2026 SC 78 – 68 LSU
Feb 19, 2025 LSU 81 – 67 SC
Feb 17, 2024 LSU 64 – 63 SC
Feb 19, 2022 SC 77 – 75 LSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LSU SC
Overall 14-19 11-21
Conference 2-16 4-14
Home 10-8 7-8
Away 0-9 4-8
Neutral 4-2 0-5
Last 5 0-5 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.6 64.3
Avg Pts Against 70.7 72.6
Massey 2.0 (#133) -5.2 (#262)
Bradley-Terry 0.55 (#125) -0.30 (#207)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.58 (#128) -0.65 (#232)
RPI 0.500 (#182) 0.468 (#241)
Shooting & Four Factors LSU SC
FG% 41.2% 39.8%
3PT% 32.9% 32.3%
REB / G 34.4 34.5
OREB / G 10.5 12.2
AST / TO 0.95 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 46.5%
TOV% 19.4% 19.9%
ORB% 30.1% 33.0%
FT Rate 22.9% 17.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.0% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 18.4% 16.1%
DRB% 71.3% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 20.6% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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