Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -400 SC +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -10.9 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -9.3 (-18.3) | 134.3 (+20.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -8.6 (-17.6) | 132.7 (+22.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -8.8 (-17.8) | 133.0 (+22.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -8.5 (-17.5) | 131.9 (+23.1) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SC 77 – 75 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | -5.2 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#125) | -0.30 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#128) | -0.65 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#182) | 0.468 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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