Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -145 SC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +14 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -5.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -5.0 (+9.0) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -5.0 (+9.0) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -5.7 (+8.3) | 139.9 (+8.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -5.4 (+8.6) | 140.4 (+7.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SC 77 – 75 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#66) | 6.8 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 0.87 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#66) | 1.28 (#88) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#134) | 0.518 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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