Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SC +124 LSU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +5 | 179 | Lost |
| Massey | LSU -3.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (+28.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -3.3 (-1.7) | 149.7 (+29.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -2.3 (-2.7) | 146.6 (+32.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -2.0 (-3.0) | 146.6 (+32.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -2.1 (-2.9) | 148.5 (+30.5) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LSU 64 – 63 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SC 77 – 75 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-8 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#97) | 11.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#107) | 1.38 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#87) | 2.11 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#162) | 0.544 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 32.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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