Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SC -400 LSU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +1 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -4.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.9 (-7.9) | 141.1 (-14.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -4.2 (-5.2) | 141.5 (-14.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -6.0 (-7.0) | 143.1 (-16.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SC -5.2 (-6.2) | 141.8 (-14.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LSU 92 – 87 SC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SC 78 – 68 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | LSU 81 – 67 SC |
| Feb 18, 2023 | SC 82 – 73 LSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SC 77 – 75 LSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#70) | 7.2 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#4) | 0.91 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#8) | 1.49 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#25) | 0.522 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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