You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
South Carolina Gamecocks
63 64
FINAL Conference
LSU Tigers
Southeastern Conference · Colonial Life Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SC -8.5 Away covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money SC -400 / LSU +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual LSU +1 127 Lost
Massey SC -4.8 (-5.8)
Massey Totals 142.8 (-15.8)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 93%
Efficiency Plus ML SC -4.2 (-5.2) 141.5 (-14.5) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML SC -6.0 (-7.0) 143.1 (-16.1) 75%
Baseline ML SC -5.2 (-6.2) 141.8 (-14.8) 72%
Baseline Plus ML SC -6.9 (-7.9) 141.1 (-14.1) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 LSU 9287 SC
Jan 7, 2026 SC 7868 LSU
Feb 19, 2025 LSU 8167 SC
Feb 18, 2023 SC 8273 LSU
Feb 19, 2022 SC 7775 LSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC LSU
Overall 26-8 17-16
Conference 13-5 9-9
Home 14-3 12-6
Away 8-3 3-7
Neutral 4-2 2-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.1 76.4
Avg Pts Against 67.6 75.0
Massey 8.6 (#70) 7.2 (#81)
Bradley-Terry 2.99 (#4) 0.91 (#109)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.40 (#8) 1.49 (#90)
RPI 0.607 (#25) 0.522 (#133)
Shooting & Four Factors SC LSU
FG% 44.0% 46.2%
3PT% 34.0% 35.7%
REB / G 35.8 35.8
OREB / G 11.4 10.2
AST / TO 1.47 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 53.0%
TOV% 16.0% 18.2%
ORB% 33.7% 30.1%
FT Rate 23.0% 27.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.5% 49.3%
Opp TOV% 15.3% 18.8%
DRB% 72.9% 67.9%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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