Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +4 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -4.4 (-8.4) | 147.2 (+4.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.2 (-9.2) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.5 (-9.5) | 147.6 (+4.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.4 (-9.4) | 147.8 (+4.2) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 15-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#133) | -2.1 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#125) | -0.80 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#143) | -0.79 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#60) | 0.481 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.7% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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