Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -19.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -15.5 (-5.5) | 134.9 (+11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -14.5 (-4.5) | 136.8 (+9.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -15.6 (-5.6) | 135.6 (+10.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -15.5 (-5.5) | 136.4 (+9.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#121) | -13.5 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#73) | -2.36 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#95) | -2.93 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#101) | 0.407 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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