Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 119.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -750 WAG +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -16.8 (-21.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 107.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -10.5 (-15.5) | 125.9 (-6.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -9.8 (-14.8) | 125.0 (-6.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -10.3 (-15.3) | 127.0 (-8.0) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -12.3 (-17.3) | 125.0 (-6.0) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Mar 9, 2024 | WAG 66 – 56 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-7 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 12-3 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 57.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#163) | -13.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#92) | -1.98 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#126) | -3.32 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#73) | 0.400 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 39.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.