Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -250 WAG +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +10 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -7.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -5.5 (-15.5) | 129.8 (-7.8) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -3.8 (-13.8) | 129.1 (-7.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -5.6 (-15.6) | 129.5 (-7.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -5.5 (-15.5) | 127.6 (-5.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -4.5 (#252) | -8.2 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#221) | -1.51 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#253) | -2.08 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#181) | 0.441 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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