Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | WAG +250 CCSU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +7 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -8.3 (+1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 114.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -9.1 (+2.1) | 123.3 (-20.3) | 18% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -7.3 (+0.3) | 121.4 (-18.4) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -7.7 (+0.7) | 122.1 (-19.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -8.1 (+1.1) | 126.1 (-23.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | WAG 66 – 56 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 25-7 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 12-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 57.5 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 63.1 |
| Massey | -12.2 (#341) | -0.8 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#323) | 0.35 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#332) | 0.18 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#321) | 0.534 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.8% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 13.0% |
Game Analysis
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