Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | WAG +124 CCSU -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +7 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.7 (-6.3) | 141.6 (-24.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.2 (-6.8) | 139.6 (-22.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.4 (-6.6) | 140.4 (-23.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.7 (-6.3) | 141.6 (-24.6) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | WAG 70 – 60 CCSU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | WAG 66 – 56 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#302) | -7.1 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#353) | -1.09 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.45 (#352) | -1.74 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#354) | 0.459 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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