Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -185 WAG +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -4.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -4.1 (-14.1) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -4.5 (-14.5) | 138.0 (-8.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -3.3 (-13.3) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -3.5 (-13.5) | 138.4 (-8.4) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CCSU 84 – 67 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CCSU 62 – 55 WAG |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 – 48 WAG |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WAG 62 – 57 CCSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | WAG 66 – 56 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#291) | -9.3 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#249) | -1.89 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#284) | -2.46 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#231) | 0.441 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.