Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
| Money | NIU +145 M-OH -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -1.6 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+11.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.4 (-1.6) | 142.9 (+10.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -0.3 (-3.3) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -0.3 (-2.7) | 143.6 (+9.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -1.4 (-1.6) | 143.2 (+9.8) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | M-OH 85 – 61 NIU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | M-OH 87 – 58 NIU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | M-OH 84 – 69 NIU |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIU 62 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 18, 2023 | M-OH 66 – 65 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-8 | 9-8 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#311) | -4.4 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#263) | -1.00 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#269) | -1.16 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#253) | 0.435 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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