Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +30 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | NORF -4.0 (-26.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -4.3 (-25.7) | 141.9 (+6.1) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -4.4 (-25.6) | 140.9 (+7.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -3.7 (-26.3) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -4.9 (-25.1) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 24-7 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 12-2 |
| Home | 3-6 | 11-0 |
| Away | 4-16 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 66.6 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#308) | -1.8 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#319) | 0.34 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#318) | 0.40 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#300) | 0.514 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.