Betting Lines
| Spread | HARV -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HARV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +8 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | HARV -16.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HARV -12.2 (-4.2) | 142.0 (-26.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HARV -12.2 (-4.2) | 144.8 (-28.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HARV -12.5 (-4.5) | 144.0 (-28.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HARV -12.7 (-4.7) | 143.1 (-27.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HARV 81 – 71 COLU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HARV 79 – 54 COLU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 87 – 75 COLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | HARV 90 – 82 COLU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | HARV 80 – 75 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 4-22 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#199) | -15.0 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#232) | -2.91 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#223) | -3.50 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#243) | 0.351 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HARV | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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