Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -13.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.7 (+8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -11.9 (+2.1) | 145.2 (+8.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -11.5 (+2.5) | 148.4 (+5.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -11.8 (+2.2) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -12.4 (+1.6) | 147.6 (+6.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HCU 72 – 68 NICH |
| Dec 18, 2025 | NICH 79 – 64 HCU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NICH 75 – 67 HCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NICH 83 – 73 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | NICH 98 – 94 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#217) | -13.3 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | -2.38 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#228) | -2.80 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#156) | 0.409 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 12.6% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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