Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -5.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -4.7 (-18.7) | 140.8 (+15.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -5.4 (-19.4) | 141.1 (+14.9) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -5.0 (-19.0) | 143.8 (+12.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -4.6 (-18.6) | 142.6 (+13.4) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NDSU 78 – 72 KC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NDSU 71 – 64 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#181) | -3.7 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | -0.28 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#131) | -0.11 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.496 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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