Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +8 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -5.7 (+13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -4.7 (+12.7) | 149.9 (+26.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -4.6 (+12.6) | 149.7 (+26.3) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -4.9 (+12.9) | 150.2 (+25.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -5.4 (+13.4) | 149.5 (+26.5) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#352) | -7.0 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#352) | -0.77 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.38 (#347) | -1.18 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#331) | 0.497 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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